Our contrarian suggestion is that demand destruction is already well underway, which should be expected to contribute to lower inflationary pressures and ultimately be positive for stocks.
Yet, retailers such as Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) have painted a brighter picture. Even Walmart hasn’t warned that inventory will further hurt results. “Target’s problems definitely look to be company-specific,” says John Zolidis, president of Quo Vadis Capital.
“We’ve only really had one quarter of negative surprises,” said John Zolidis, founder of Quo Vadis Capital. “Normally in a recessionary cycle there will be several rounds of cuts before the outlook and stocks bottom. Unless we see a reversal of inflation data and a less hawkish approach from the Federal Reserve, our guess would be that we’re closer to the beginning of the pain than the end of it.”